Burnley FC vs Manchester City FC Result & Model Analysis

📊 Post-Match Model Analysis

❌ PROJECTION DEVIATION

Upset result. Model slightly overestimated Burnley FC's win probability at 39.8%. Final: Burnley FC 0-1 Manchester City FC.

Historical Context: Pre-match model confidence was HIGH (75%). The Original projected win probability was Burnley FC 39.8%, Draw 29.9%, Manchester City FC 30.3%.

Explore More

See where Burnley FC & Manchester City FC stand in Premier League

Premier League Table →More Fixtures

👨‍💻

SpinBonus Data Team

Quantitative Sports Analysts

Predictions and EV calculations on this page are generated algorithmically. We are not tipsters. Our goal is to detect mathematical value (+EV) using objective data points.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model: Poisson Regression Model
Provider: Sportmonks V3 API
Tracking: Results are permanently logged in our Model Accuracy Tracker
Updates: Odds and predictions auto-refresh via edge functions.

Burnley FC

Manchester City FC

📊 Post-Match Model Analysis

🎯 Submit Your Pick

💬 Match Discussion(0)

Methodology & Data Sources