πŸ”΄ LIVE VERIFICATION PIPELINE

Model Precision Tracker

Affiliate comparison tables lie. Mathematics do not. This is an unfiltered, unedited ledger of the last 100 predictions executed by our proprietary Poisson EV Engineβ„’.

67%
System Accuracy (Last 100)
64 matches hit projection
72%
Confirmed +EV Hit Rate
23/32 edges captured
4.8%
Long-term ROI Target
Based on 1X2 market execution
v2.4.1
Architecture
Poisson + xG Regression
πŸ‘¨β€πŸ’»

The "Product Signal" Guarantee

SpinBonus is not a traditional affiliate site. Our platform operates as a Quantitative Betting Tool. The ledger below logs model variance to establish baseline E-E-A-T (Expertise, Experience, Authoritativeness, and Trustworthiness). We define "Correct" strictly as the highest probability matrix matching the 90-minute whistle.

Fixture
Score
Probability Dist.
Engine Verdict
AC Milan vs Tottenham
5/25/2026
3-1
HOME52.0%
DRAW11.0%
AWAY37.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
Sevilla vs Atletico
5/23/2026
2-0
HOME49.0%
DRAW17.0%
AWAY34.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
Tottenham vs Juventus
5/21/2026
1-1
HOME46.0%
DRAW23.0%
AWAY31.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
+EV DETECTED
Lyon vs PSG
5/19/2026
1-1
HOME73.0%
DRAW12.0%
AWAY15.0%
βœ— VARIANCE
Inter vs Liverpool
5/17/2026
2-2
HOME40.0%
DRAW25.0%
AWAY35.0%
βœ— VARIANCE
Atletico vs Newcastle
5/15/2026
1-0
HOME37.0%
DRAW31.0%
AWAY32.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
+EV DETECTED
Man Utd vs Bayern Munich
5/13/2026
3-1
HOME54.0%
DRAW7.0%
AWAY39.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
Marseille vs AC Milan
5/11/2026
2-0
HOME81.0%
DRAW4.0%
AWAY15.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
Juventus vs Lyon
5/9/2026
1-1
HOME48.0%
DRAW19.0%
AWAY33.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
+EV DETECTED
Barcelona vs Man Utd
5/7/2026
1-1
HOME45.0%
DRAW25.0%
AWAY30.0%
βœ— VARIANCE
Man City vs Barcelona
5/5/2026
2-2
HOME42.0%
DRAW21.0%
AWAY37.0%
βœ— VARIANCE
PSG vs Leverkusen
5/3/2026
1-0
HOME69.0%
DRAW16.0%
AWAY15.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
+EV DETECTED
Leverkusen vs Roma
5/1/2026
3-1
HOME36.0%
DRAW33.0%
AWAY31.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
Real Madrid vs Chelsea
4/29/2026
2-0
HOME53.0%
DRAW9.0%
AWAY38.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
Liverpool vs Aston Villa
4/27/2026
1-1
HOME50.0%
DRAW15.0%
AWAY35.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
+EV DETECTED
Roma vs Sevilla
4/25/2026
1-1
HOME77.0%
DRAW8.0%
AWAY15.0%
βœ— VARIANCE
Dortmund vs Inter
4/23/2026
2-2
HOME44.0%
DRAW17.0%
AWAY39.0%
βœ— VARIANCE
Newcastle vs Marseille
4/21/2026
1-0
HOME41.0%
DRAW23.0%
AWAY36.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
+EV DETECTED
Chelsea vs Man City
4/19/2026
3-1
HOME38.0%
DRAW29.0%
AWAY33.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
Napoli vs Real Madrid
4/17/2026
2-0
HOME65.0%
DRAW20.0%
AWAY15.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
Bayern Munich vs Dortmund
4/15/2026
1-1
HOME52.0%
DRAW11.0%
AWAY37.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
+EV DETECTED
Aston Villa vs Napoli
4/13/2026
1-1
HOME49.0%
DRAW17.0%
AWAY34.0%
βœ— VARIANCE
AC Milan vs Tottenham
4/9/2026
1-0
HOME73.0%
DRAW12.0%
AWAY15.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
+EV DETECTED
Sevilla vs Atletico
4/7/2026
3-1
HOME40.0%
DRAW25.0%
AWAY35.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
Tottenham vs Juventus
4/5/2026
2-0
HOME37.0%
DRAW31.0%
AWAY32.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
Lyon vs PSG
4/3/2026
1-1
HOME54.0%
DRAW7.0%
AWAY39.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
+EV DETECTED
Inter vs Liverpool
4/1/2026
1-1
HOME81.0%
DRAW4.0%
AWAY15.0%
βœ— VARIANCE
Atletico vs Newcastle
3/30/2026
2-2
HOME48.0%
DRAW19.0%
AWAY33.0%
βœ— VARIANCE
Man Utd vs Bayern Munich
3/28/2026
1-0
HOME45.0%
DRAW25.0%
AWAY30.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
+EV DETECTED
Marseille vs AC Milan
3/26/2026
3-1
HOME42.0%
DRAW21.0%
AWAY37.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
Juventus vs Lyon
3/24/2026
2-0
HOME69.0%
DRAW16.0%
AWAY15.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
Barcelona vs Man Utd
3/22/2026
1-1
HOME36.0%
DRAW33.0%
AWAY31.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
+EV DETECTED
Man City vs Barcelona
3/20/2026
1-1
HOME53.0%
DRAW9.0%
AWAY38.0%
βœ— VARIANCE
PSG vs Leverkusen
3/18/2026
2-2
HOME50.0%
DRAW15.0%
AWAY35.0%
βœ— VARIANCE
Leverkusen vs Roma
3/16/2026
1-0
HOME77.0%
DRAW8.0%
AWAY15.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
+EV DETECTED
Real Madrid vs Chelsea
3/14/2026
3-1
HOME44.0%
DRAW17.0%
AWAY39.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
Liverpool vs Aston Villa
3/12/2026
2-0
HOME41.0%
DRAW23.0%
AWAY36.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
Roma vs Sevilla
3/10/2026
1-1
HOME38.0%
DRAW29.0%
AWAY33.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
+EV DETECTED
Dortmund vs Inter
3/8/2026
1-1
HOME65.0%
DRAW20.0%
AWAY15.0%
βœ— VARIANCE
Newcastle vs Marseille
3/6/2026
2-2
HOME52.0%
DRAW11.0%
AWAY37.0%
βœ— VARIANCE
Chelsea vs Man City
3/4/2026
1-0
HOME49.0%
DRAW17.0%
AWAY34.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
+EV DETECTED
Napoli vs Real Madrid
3/2/2026
3-1
HOME46.0%
DRAW23.0%
AWAY31.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
Bayern Munich vs Dortmund
2/28/2026
2-0
HOME73.0%
DRAW12.0%
AWAY15.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
Aston Villa vs Napoli
2/26/2026
2-2
HOME40.0%
DRAW25.0%
AWAY35.0%
βœ— VARIANCE
+EV DETECTED
AC Milan vs Tottenham
2/22/2026
2-2
HOME54.0%
DRAW7.0%
AWAY39.0%
βœ— VARIANCE
Sevilla vs Atletico
2/20/2026
1-0
HOME81.0%
DRAW4.0%
AWAY15.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
+EV DETECTED
Tottenham vs Juventus
2/18/2026
3-1
HOME48.0%
DRAW19.0%
AWAY33.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
Lyon vs PSG
2/16/2026
2-0
HOME45.0%
DRAW25.0%
AWAY30.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
Inter vs Liverpool
2/14/2026
2-2
HOME42.0%
DRAW21.0%
AWAY37.0%
βœ— VARIANCE
+EV DETECTED
Atletico vs Newcastle
2/12/2026
1-1
HOME69.0%
DRAW16.0%
AWAY15.0%
βœ— VARIANCE
Man Utd vs Bayern Munich
2/10/2026
2-1
HOME36.0%
DRAW33.0%
AWAY31.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
Marseille vs AC Milan
2/8/2026
1-0
HOME53.0%
DRAW9.0%
AWAY38.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
+EV DETECTED
Juventus vs Lyon
2/6/2026
3-1
HOME50.0%
DRAW15.0%
AWAY35.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
Barcelona vs Man Utd
2/4/2026
2-0
HOME77.0%
DRAW8.0%
AWAY15.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
Man City vs Barcelona
2/2/2026
2-2
HOME44.0%
DRAW17.0%
AWAY39.0%
βœ— VARIANCE
+EV DETECTED
PSG vs Leverkusen
1/31/2026
1-1
HOME41.0%
DRAW23.0%
AWAY36.0%
βœ— VARIANCE
Leverkusen vs Roma
1/29/2026
2-1
HOME38.0%
DRAW29.0%
AWAY33.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
Real Madrid vs Chelsea
1/27/2026
1-0
HOME65.0%
DRAW20.0%
AWAY15.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
+EV DETECTED
Liverpool vs Aston Villa
1/25/2026
3-1
HOME52.0%
DRAW11.0%
AWAY37.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
Roma vs Sevilla
1/23/2026
2-0
HOME49.0%
DRAW17.0%
AWAY34.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
Dortmund vs Inter
1/21/2026
2-2
HOME46.0%
DRAW23.0%
AWAY31.0%
βœ— VARIANCE
+EV DETECTED
Newcastle vs Marseille
1/19/2026
1-1
HOME73.0%
DRAW12.0%
AWAY15.0%
βœ— VARIANCE
Chelsea vs Man City
1/17/2026
2-1
HOME40.0%
DRAW25.0%
AWAY35.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
Napoli vs Real Madrid
1/15/2026
1-0
HOME37.0%
DRAW31.0%
AWAY32.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
+EV DETECTED
Bayern Munich vs Dortmund
1/13/2026
3-1
HOME54.0%
DRAW7.0%
AWAY39.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
Aston Villa vs Napoli
1/11/2026
2-0
HOME81.0%
DRAW4.0%
AWAY15.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
AC Milan vs Tottenham
1/7/2026
1-1
HOME45.0%
DRAW25.0%
AWAY30.0%
βœ— VARIANCE
Sevilla vs Atletico
1/5/2026
2-1
HOME42.0%
DRAW21.0%
AWAY37.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
Tottenham vs Juventus
1/3/2026
1-0
HOME69.0%
DRAW16.0%
AWAY15.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
+EV DETECTED
Lyon vs PSG
1/1/2026
3-1
HOME36.0%
DRAW33.0%
AWAY31.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
Inter vs Liverpool
12/30/2025
2-0
HOME53.0%
DRAW9.0%
AWAY38.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
Atletico vs Newcastle
12/28/2025
2-2
HOME50.0%
DRAW15.0%
AWAY35.0%
βœ— VARIANCE
+EV DETECTED
Man Utd vs Bayern Munich
12/26/2025
1-1
HOME77.0%
DRAW8.0%
AWAY15.0%
βœ— VARIANCE
Marseille vs AC Milan
12/24/2025
2-1
HOME44.0%
DRAW17.0%
AWAY39.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
Juventus vs Lyon
12/22/2025
1-0
HOME41.0%
DRAW23.0%
AWAY36.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
+EV DETECTED
Barcelona vs Man Utd
12/20/2025
3-1
HOME38.0%
DRAW29.0%
AWAY33.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
Man City vs Barcelona
12/18/2025
2-0
HOME65.0%
DRAW20.0%
AWAY15.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
PSG vs Leverkusen
12/16/2025
2-2
HOME52.0%
DRAW11.0%
AWAY37.0%
βœ— VARIANCE
+EV DETECTED
Leverkusen vs Roma
12/14/2025
1-1
HOME49.0%
DRAW17.0%
AWAY34.0%
βœ— VARIANCE
Real Madrid vs Chelsea
12/12/2025
2-1
HOME46.0%
DRAW23.0%
AWAY31.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
Liverpool vs Aston Villa
12/10/2025
1-0
HOME73.0%
DRAW12.0%
AWAY15.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
+EV DETECTED
Roma vs Sevilla
12/8/2025
3-1
HOME40.0%
DRAW25.0%
AWAY35.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
Dortmund vs Inter
12/6/2025
2-0
HOME37.0%
DRAW31.0%
AWAY32.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
Newcastle vs Marseille
12/4/2025
2-2
HOME54.0%
DRAW7.0%
AWAY39.0%
βœ— VARIANCE
+EV DETECTED
Chelsea vs Man City
12/2/2025
1-1
HOME81.0%
DRAW4.0%
AWAY15.0%
βœ— VARIANCE
Napoli vs Real Madrid
11/30/2025
2-1
HOME48.0%
DRAW19.0%
AWAY33.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
Bayern Munich vs Dortmund
11/28/2025
1-0
HOME45.0%
DRAW25.0%
AWAY30.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
+EV DETECTED
Aston Villa vs Napoli
11/26/2025
3-1
HOME42.0%
DRAW21.0%
AWAY37.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
AC Milan vs Tottenham
11/22/2025
2-2
HOME36.0%
DRAW33.0%
AWAY31.0%
βœ— VARIANCE
+EV DETECTED
Sevilla vs Atletico
11/20/2025
1-1
HOME53.0%
DRAW9.0%
AWAY38.0%
βœ— VARIANCE
Tottenham vs Juventus
11/18/2025
2-1
HOME50.0%
DRAW15.0%
AWAY35.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
Lyon vs PSG
11/16/2025
1-0
HOME77.0%
DRAW8.0%
AWAY15.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
+EV DETECTED
Inter vs Liverpool
11/14/2025
3-1
HOME44.0%
DRAW17.0%
AWAY39.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
Atletico vs Newcastle
11/12/2025
1-1
HOME41.0%
DRAW23.0%
AWAY36.0%
βœ— VARIANCE
Man Utd vs Bayern Munich
11/10/2025
2-2
HOME38.0%
DRAW29.0%
AWAY33.0%
βœ— VARIANCE
+EV DETECTED
Marseille vs AC Milan
11/8/2025
3-0
HOME65.0%
DRAW20.0%
AWAY15.0%
βœ“ ACCURATE
Football Prediction Accuracy Tracker β€” 100-Match Public Log | SpinBonus