Sunderland AFC vs Nottingham Forest FC Result & Model Analysis

📊 Post-Match Model Analysis

❌ PROJECTION DEVIATION

Upset result. Model slightly overestimated Sunderland AFC's win probability at 41.6%. Final: Sunderland AFC 0-5 Nottingham Forest FC.

Historical Context: Pre-match model confidence was MEDIUM (57%). The Original projected win probability was Sunderland AFC 41.6%, Draw 19.4%, Nottingham Forest FC 39.0%.

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SpinBonus Data Team

Quantitative Sports Analysts

Predictions and EV calculations on this page are generated algorithmically. We are not tipsters. Our goal is to detect mathematical value (+EV) using objective data points.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model: Poisson Regression Model
Provider: Sportmonks V3 API
Tracking: Results are permanently logged in our Model Accuracy Tracker
Updates: Odds and predictions auto-refresh via edge functions.

Sunderland AFC

Nottingham Forest FC

📊 Post-Match Model Analysis

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Methodology & Data Sources