Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona Result & Model Analysis

📊 Post-Match Model Analysis

❌ PROJECTION DEVIATION

Against projection. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid overcame a predicted 41.8% away win probability. Final: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1-0 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona.

Historical Context: Pre-match model confidence was HIGH (75%). The Original projected win probability was Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 39.4%, Draw 18.7%, RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 41.8%.

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See where Rayo Vallecano de Madrid & RCD Espanyol de Barcelona stand in Primera Division

Primera Division Table →More Fixtures

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SpinBonus Data Team

Quantitative Sports Analysts

Predictions and EV calculations on this page are generated algorithmically. We are not tipsters. Our goal is to detect mathematical value (+EV) using objective data points.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model: Poisson Regression Model
Provider: Sportmonks V3 API
Tracking: Results are permanently logged in our Model Accuracy Tracker
Updates: Odds and predictions auto-refresh via edge functions.

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

RCD Espanyol de Barcelona

📊 Post-Match Model Analysis

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Methodology & Data Sources