Casa Pia AC vs Sporting Clube de Braga Result & Model Analysis

📊 Post-Match Model Analysis

❌ PROJECTION DEVIATION

Upset result. Model slightly overestimated Casa Pia AC's win probability at 51.3%. Final: Casa Pia AC 0-1 Sporting Clube de Braga.

Historical Context: Pre-match model confidence was MEDIUM (64%). The Original projected win probability was Casa Pia AC 51.3%, Draw 24.7%, Sporting Clube de Braga 24.0%.

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SpinBonus Data Team

Quantitative Sports Analysts

Predictions and EV calculations on this page are generated algorithmically. We are not tipsters. Our goal is to detect mathematical value (+EV) using objective data points.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model: Poisson Regression Model
Provider: Sportmonks V3 API
Tracking: Results are permanently logged in our Model Accuracy Tracker
Updates: Odds and predictions auto-refresh via edge functions.

Casa Pia AC

Sporting Clube de Braga

📊 Post-Match Model Analysis

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Methodology & Data Sources