LDU de Quito vs Mirassol FC Prediction & EV Analysis

⚡ SpinBonus EV Engine™

BEST: Under 2.5 +1.7%

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

Home Win

Model: 52.5% • Implied: 51.9%

+1.2%

✅ VALUE

Draw

Model: 26.6% • Implied: 28.3%

-5.9%

— NO EDGE

Away Win

Model: 20.9% • Implied: 21.9%

-4.4%

— NO EDGE

📊 Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Model: 39.8% • Implied: 39.8%

⚖️ FAIR

Under 2.5

Model: 60.2% • Implied: 59.2%

+1.7%

✅ VALUE

🎯 Both Teams to Score

Yes

Model: 42.8% • Implied: 42.7%

+0.3%

⚖️ FAIR

Model: 57.2% • Implied: 56.3%

+1.5%

✅ VALUE

💡 +EV Detected: Optimize Your Market Edge

Our model identified a +1.7% edge on Under 2.5. To effectively capture this mathematical value without losing returns to bookmaker margins (vig), this transaction should strictly be executed on a low-commission exchange.

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👨‍💻

SpinBonus Data Team

Quantitative Sports Analysts

Predictions and EV calculations on this page are generated algorithmically. We are not tipsters. Our goal is to detect mathematical value (+EV) using objective data points.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model: Poisson Regression Model
Provider: Sportmonks V3 API
Tracking: Results are permanently logged in our Model Accuracy Tracker
Updates: Odds and predictions auto-refresh via edge functions.