Stoke City FC vs Millwall FC Result & Model Analysis

📊 Post-Match Model Analysis

❌ PROJECTION DEVIATION

Upset result. Model slightly overestimated Stoke City FC's win probability at 50.2%. Final: Stoke City FC 1-3 Millwall FC.

Historical Context: Pre-match model confidence was HIGH (91%). The Original projected win probability was Stoke City FC 50.2%, Draw 31.6%, Millwall FC 18.2%.

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See where Stoke City FC & Millwall FC stand in Championship

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SpinBonus Data Team

Quantitative Sports Analysts

Predictions and EV calculations on this page are generated algorithmically. We are not tipsters. Our goal is to detect mathematical value (+EV) using objective data points.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model: Poisson Regression Model
Provider: Sportmonks V3 API
Tracking: Results are permanently logged in our Model Accuracy Tracker
Updates: Odds and predictions auto-refresh via edge functions.

Stoke City FC

Millwall FC

📊 Post-Match Model Analysis

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Methodology & Data Sources